The Citadel vs East Tennessee State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:07 AM
  • East Tennessee State (10-10) is a -7.5 point favorite vs The Citadel (9-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • The Citadel / East Tennessee State TV channel: ESPN+

The The Citadel Bulldogs (9-9) visit Freedom Hall to take on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (10-10) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Johnson City, TN.

East Tennessee State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The The Citadel vs. East Tennessee State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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The Citadel vs. East Tennessee State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
The Citadel+7.5 -115O 136.5 -115+240
East Tennessee State -7.5 -105U 136.5 -105-300

The Citadel vs East Tennessee State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts East Tennessee State will win this college basketball game with 75.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

The Citadel vs East Tennessee State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts The Citadel will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • The Citadel has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.31% ROI).

  • 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -28.54% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Over for -3.05 Units / -14.56% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Under for +1.2 Units / 5.76% ROI

East Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Tennessee State has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -4.76% ROI).

  • 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -17.34% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 10.5 offensive rebounds per game (230 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 10.0

The Citadel has a 32% free throw rate (399 free throw attempts/1,243 field goal attempts) this season — tied for highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 29%

The Citadel has averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (252 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 4th highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 11.9

The Citadel has 18.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 17.8

East Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has averaged 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (254 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 10.0

East Tennessee State has 254 offensive rebounds this season — most among Southern Teams

East Tennessee State is shooting 30% from three (160/541) this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Tennessee State is shooting 31% from three (363/1,174) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 5.3 steals per game (116 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Citadel has averaged 5.4 steals per game (292 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Citadel has allowed 8.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th highest among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 7.7

The Citadel has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,546 points/1,315 shots) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 1.21

East Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has averaged 7.1 steals per game (149 steals/21 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.6

East Tennessee State has 149 steals this season — 4th most among Southern Teams

East Tennessee State has averaged 6.5 steals per game (344 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

East Tennessee State has 344 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th fewest among Southern Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.