The Citadel vs Mercer Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:02 AM
  • Mercer (13-11) is a -5.5 point favorite vs The Citadel (12-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • The Citadel / Mercer TV channel: ESPN+

The The Citadel Bulldogs (12-11) visit Hawkins Arena to take on the Mercer Bears (13-11) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Macon, GA.

Mercer is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The The Citadel vs. Mercer Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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The Citadel vs. Mercer Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
The Citadel+5.5 -110O 134.5 -110+200
Mercer -5.5 -110U 134.5 -110-250

The Citadel vs Mercer Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mercer will win this college basketball game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

The Citadel vs Mercer Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts The Citadel will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Mercer vs The Citadel and all games with BetMGM


  • The Citadel has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+3.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI).

  • 7-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -28.21% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -16.26% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2.05 Units / 7.78% ROI

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 13-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI).

  • 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 11.78% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.59% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.35 Units / -16.45% ROI

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel is shooting 74% from the free throw line (695/938) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 71%

The Citadel has averaged 11.3 turnovers per game (272 turnovers/24 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Citadel has averaged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (236 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.9

The Citadel is shooting 72% from the free throw line (307/424) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 70%

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Mercer has a TS% of 45% this season — 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Mercer has averaged 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (247 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Mercer has averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,927 points/3,314 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 5.2 steals per game (126 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Citadel has averaged 5.4 steals per game (302 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Citadel has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Citadel has allowed 70.0 points per game (1,679 points/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 72.6

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 6.3 steals per game (361 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Mercer has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (531 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Mercer has 176 steals this season — 2nd most among Southern Teams

Mercer has 361 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Southern Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.