The Citadel vs Mercer Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 11:19 AM
  • Mercer (16-11) is a -3.5 point favorite vs The Citadel (14-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • The Citadel / Mercer TV channel: ESPN+

The The Citadel Bulldogs (14-13) visit Harrah’s Cherokee Center to take on the Mercer Bears (16-11) on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Asheville, NC.

Mercer is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-120).

The The Citadel vs. Mercer Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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The Citadel vs. Mercer Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
The Citadel+3.5 +100O 138.5 -110+155
Mercer -3.5 -120U 138.5 -110-190

The Citadel vs Mercer Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mercer will win this college basketball game with 63.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

The Citadel vs Mercer Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts The Citadel will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Mercer vs The Citadel and all games with BetMGM


  • The Citadel have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Citadel have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 games (+0.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+14.05 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -0.98% ROI).

  • 8-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -26.8% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -7.78% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units / -0.81% ROI

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 12.66% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 24.43% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 19.48% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -28.25% ROI

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel is shooting 74% from the free throw line (695/938) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 71%

The Citadel has averaged 11.3 turnovers per game (272 turnovers/24 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Citadel has averaged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (236 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.9

The Citadel is shooting 72% from the free throw line (307/424) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 70%

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Mercer has a TS% of 45% this season — 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Mercer has averaged 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (247 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Mercer has averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,927 points/3,314 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 5.2 steals per game (126 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Citadel has averaged 5.4 steals per game (302 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Citadel has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Citadel has allowed 70.0 points per game (1,679 points/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 72.6

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 6.3 steals per game (361 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Mercer has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (531 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Mercer has 176 steals this season — 2nd most among Southern Teams

Mercer has 361 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Southern Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.