Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2024, 9:56 AM
  • Toledo (13-13) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Bowling Green (11-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Toledo / Bowling Green TV channel: ESPNU

The Toledo Rockets (13-13) visit Stroh Center to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (11-13) on Feb. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Bowling Green, OH.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Toledo vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Toledo vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo-4.5 -115O 156.5 -110-200
Bowling Green +4.5 -105U 156.5 -110+160

Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Toledo vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+6.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+3.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+2.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.35 Units / -4.71% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 4.27% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -12.48% ROI).

  • 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.18% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo is shooting 49% (1,754/3,583) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (824 assists/ 579 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (579 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Toledo has averaged 83.5 points per game (4,925 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green is shooting 31% from three (168/545) this season — 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green has 22.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Bowling Green has averaged 1.27 points per shot (4,190 points/3,311 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Bowling Green is shooting 45% (647/1,452) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has 176 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo has averaged 7.3 steals per game (176 steals/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 49% (707/1,433) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (538 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has averaged 25.4 defensive rebounds per game (610 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Bowling Green has averaged 6.6 steals per game (159 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Bowling Green has 347 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green has 159 steals this season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.