- Toledo (13-15) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Buffalo (11-16)
- Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
- Toledo / Buffalo TV channel: ESPN+
The Toledo Rockets (13-15) visit Alumni Arena to take on the Buffalo Bulls (11-16) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Buffalo, NY.
Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Toledo vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 156.5 total points.
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Toledo vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Toledo | -10.5 -110 | O 156.5 -110 | -650 |
| Buffalo | +10.5 -110 | U 156.5 -110 | +450 |
Toledo vs Buffalo Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Toledo vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Toledo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Buffalo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Toledo has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.55 Units / -11.51% ROI).
- 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -11.58% ROI
- 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.35 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.54% ROI
Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Buffalo has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -15.18% ROI).
- 5-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -35.48% ROI
- 11-15 when betting the Over for -5.5 Units / -18.52% ROI
- 15-11 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 9.76% ROI
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo is shooting 49% (1,754/3,583) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%
Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (824 assists/ 579 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Toledo has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (579 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Toledo has averaged 83.5 points per game (4,925 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.5
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo is shooting 41% (541/1,312) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%
Buffalo is shooting 27% from three (147/550) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Buffalo is shooting 27% from three (147/550) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%
Buffalo is shooting 30% from three (370/1,245) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has 176 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams
Toledo has averaged 7.3 steals per game (176 steals/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 49% (707/1,433) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Toledo has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (538 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6
Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Buffalo has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (498 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6
Buffalo has allowed 80.6 points per game (1,774 points/22 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 73.6
Buffalo has averaged 6.3 steals per game (138 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Buffalo has 392 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams
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