Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 19

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Central Michigan head coach Tony Barbee directs his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Kentucky in Lexington, Ky., Monday, Nov. 29, 2021.
(AP Photo/James Crisp)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 19, 2024, 11:21 AM
  • Toledo (8-9) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Central Michigan (7-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Toledo / Central Michigan TV channel: CBSSN

The Toledo Rockets (8-9) visit McGuirk Arena to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas (7-9) on Jan. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Mt. Pleasant, MI.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Toledo vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Toledo vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo-7.5 -110O 148.5 -110-300
Central Michigan +7.5 -110U 148.5 -110+250

Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Toledo vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games (+16.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 away games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.05 Units / 9% ROI)

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.95 Units / -10.4% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 5.28% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI

Central Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Central Michigan has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 77.88% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.85 Units / -22% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 13.56% ROI

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo is shooting 49% (1,539/3,148) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (734 assists/ 512 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo has averaged 83.3 points per game (4,333 points/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.8

Toledo has averaged 1.38 points per shot (4,333 points/3,148 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Central Michigan is shooting 42% (1,129/2,666) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Central Michigan has an eFG% of 48% since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 52%

Central Michigan has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%

Central Michigan has 15.1 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (370 rebounds/17 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Toledo has averaged 7.3 steals per game (124 steals/17 games) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Toledo has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,177 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Toledo has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,177 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Central Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Central Michigan has allowed an average of 1.57 points per shot (380 points/242 shots) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.29

Central Michigan has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/17 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Central Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 56% (135/242) this season — tied for 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 46%

Central Michigan has averaged 6.5 steals per game (110 steals/17 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.