Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

min read
The coach from Arkansas State Red Wolves shouting something
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 12:14 PM
  • Arkansas State (16-10) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Troy (17-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Troy / Arkansas State TV channel: ESPNU

The Troy Trojans (17-6) visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (16-10) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Jonesboro, AR.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Troy vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

Bet now on Arkansas State vs Troy & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Troy vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy+2.5 -115O 154.5 -110+115
Arkansas State -2.5 -105U 154.5 -110-140

Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Arkansas State vs Troy and all games with BetMGM


  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.95 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 50% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 17-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.25 Units / 38.39% ROI).

  • 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 7.91% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.33% ROI

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 17-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.1 Units / 23.79% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.49% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -11.15% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.68% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy is shooting 36% from three (208/584) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Troy has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Troy has averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (299 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Troy has averaged 80.0 points per game (1,840 points/23 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (290 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Arkansas State has 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Arkansas State has made 10.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Arkansas State has a 34% free throw rate (529 free throw attempts/1,546 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (519 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Troy has averaged 10.0 steals per game (231 steals/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Troy has 231 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (519 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (133 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (353 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.9

Arkansas State has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3


Bet now on Arkansas State vs Troy and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you donโ€™t have an account, check out BetMGMโ€™s welcome offer.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.