- Arkansas State (16-10) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Troy (17-6)
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Troy / Arkansas State TV channel: ESPNU
The Troy Trojans (17-6) visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (16-10) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Jonesboro, AR.
Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Troy vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Troy vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Troy | +2.5 -115 | O 154.5 -110 | +115 |
| Arkansas State | -2.5 -105 | U 154.5 -110 | -140 |
Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Troy vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Troy has a 17-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.25 Units / 38.39% ROI).
- 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 7.91% ROI
- 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI
- 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.33% ROI
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 17-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.1 Units / 23.79% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.49% ROI
- 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -11.15% ROI
- 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.68% ROI
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:
Troy is shooting 36% from three (208/584) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%
Troy has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Troy has averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (299 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Troy has averaged 80.0 points per game (1,840 points/23 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (290 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9
Arkansas State has 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.5
Arkansas State has made 10.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Arkansas State has a 34% free throw rate (529 free throw attempts/1,546 field goal attempts) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (519 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Troy has averaged 10.0 steals per game (231 steals/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Troy has 231 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (519 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 5.3 steals per game (133 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Arkansas State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (353 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/25 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 11.9
Arkansas State has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3
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