Troy vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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A Georgia State Panthers player dribbling the ball with an opponent falling in an attempt to defend
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:35 AM
  • Troy (13-5) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Georgia State (8-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Troy / Georgia State TV channel: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans (13-5) visit GSU Convocation Center to take on the Georgia State Panthers (8-10) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Troy vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy-2.5 -110O 150.5 -115-150
Georgia State +2.5 -110U 150.5 -105+125

Troy vs Georgia State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs Georgia State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Georgia State will cover the spread with 57.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 28 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 13-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.35 Units / 34.67% ROI).

  • 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 8.17% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -14.35% ROI

Georgia State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Georgia State has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.95 Units / -14.15% ROI).

  • 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -22.48% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 20.53% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.15 Units / -29.5% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (283 turnovers/21 games) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Troy has averaged 80.0 points per game (1,680 points/21 games) this season — 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.2

Troy has averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (283 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Troy is shooting 36% from three (194/532) this season — 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia State has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (200 turnovers/21 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Georgia State is shooting 31% from three (324/1,051) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Georgia State has a 28% free throw rate (377 free throw attempts/1,367 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Georgia State has 18.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (501 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Troy has averaged 10.1 steals per game (213 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (501 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy has 213 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Georgia State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (121 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Georgia State has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (546 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Georgia State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (300 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Georgia State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (142/484) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.