Troy vs Louisiana Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 12:33 PM
  • Louisiana (14-13) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Troy (17-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Troy / Louisiana TV channel: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans (17-8) visit Cajundome to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (14-13) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Lafayette, LA.

Louisiana is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Troy vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy+2.5 -110O 149.5 -110+120
Louisiana -2.5 -110U 149.5 -110-145

Troy vs Louisiana Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this college basketball game with 57.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+4.90 Units / 11% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 17-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.05 Units / 27.85% ROI).

  • 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 7.36% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.04% ROI

Louisiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI).

  • 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -10.69% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -4.21% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.25 Units / -4.21% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy is shooting 36% from three (208/584) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Troy has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Troy has averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (299 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Troy has averaged 80.0 points per game (1,840 points/23 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana is shooting 37% from three (448/1,201) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana is shooting 37% from three (209/567) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana has a 28% free throw rate (424 free throw attempts/1,522 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana has an eFG% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (519 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Troy has averaged 10.0 steals per game (231 steals/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Troy has 231 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (519 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Louisiana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (549 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Louisiana has averaged 7.8 steals per game (458 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Louisiana has averaged 8.6 steals per game (215 steals/25 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Louisiana has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (115/440) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.