- Troy (18-8) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Texas State (13-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- Troy / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+
The Troy Trojans (18-8) visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats (13-14) on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in San Marcos, TX.
Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Troy vs. Texas State Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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Troy vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Troy | -3.5 -105 | O 139.5 -110 | -160 |
| Texas State | +3.5 -115 | U 139.5 -110 | +135 |
Troy vs Texas State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Troy vs Texas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Texas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+7.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Troy has a 18-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9.05 Units / 30.17% ROI).
- 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 9.53% ROI
- 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.69% ROI
- 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.45% ROI
Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas State has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI).
- 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -9.57% ROI
- 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI
- 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:
Troy is shooting 36% from three (208/584) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%
Troy has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Troy has averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (299 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Troy has averaged 80.0 points per game (1,840 points/23 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Texas State has averaged 68.3 points per game (1,640 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.3
Texas State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (519 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Troy has averaged 10.0 steals per game (231 steals/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Troy has 231 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (519 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Texas State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Texas State has averaged 23.9 defensive rebounds per game (574 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8
Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (145/481) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
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