UC Davis vs Cal Poly Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:56 AM
  • UC Davis (12-8) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Cal Poly (9-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • UC Davis / Cal Poly TV channel: ESPN+

The UC Davis Aggies (12-8) visit Robert A. Mott Athletics Center to take on the Cal Poly Mustangs (9-12) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in San Luis Obispo, CA.

UC Davis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The UC Davis vs. Cal Poly Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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UC Davis vs. Cal Poly Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UC Davis-9.5 -110O 133.5 -110-500
Cal Poly +9.5 -110U 133.5 -110+375

UC Davis vs Cal Poly Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UC Davis will win this college basketball game with 80.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UC Davis vs Cal Poly Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cal Poly will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UC Davis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • UC Davis have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Cal Poly have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 31 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)

UC Davis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UC Davis has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 10.5% ROI).

  • 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -7.32% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI

Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal Poly has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 3-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -51.07% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -13.42% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 4.76% ROI

UC Davis Offensive Stats & Trends:

UC Davis has a 43% free throw rate (1,248 free throw attempts/2,917 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 34%

UC Davis has 24.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 19.2

UC Davis has a TS% of 46% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 46%

UC Davis has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (261 assists/ 278 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 63.0 points per game (1,387 points/22 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Cal Poly has an eFG% of 45% this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Cal Poly is shooting 44% from inside the arc (319/720) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Cal Poly has averaged 10.0 assists per game (552 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

UC Davis Defensive Stats & Trends:

UC Davis has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (104/352) this season — best among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 33%

UC Davis has forced 14.3 turnovers per game (743 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 12.3

UC Davis has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (441 rebounds/20 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 24.0

UC Davis has averaged 8.0 steals per game (161 steals/20 games) this season — 3rd best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (464 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Cal Poly has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,211 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Cal Poly has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (464 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Cal Poly has averaged 5.6 steals per game (123 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.