- Baylor is a -10.5 point favorite vs UCF
- Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
- UCF / Baylor TV channel: ESPN+
The UCF Knights visit Foster Pavilion to take on the Baylor Bears on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Waco, TX, USA.
Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-118).
The UCF vs. Baylor Over/Under is 157.5 total points.
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UCF vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UCF | +10.5 -102 | O 157.5 -115 | +475 |
| Baylor | -10.5 -118 | U 157.5 -105 | -650 |
UCF vs Baylor Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
UCF vs Baylor Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence for today’s game.
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UCF Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+6.75 Units / 4% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Baylor Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+2.00 Units / 0% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.92 Units / 10% ROI)
UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UCF has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -5.33% ROI).
- 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units / 7.07% ROI
- 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI
- 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI
Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Baylor has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -13.79% ROI).
- 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.05% ROI
- 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 8.99% ROI
- 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -17.83% ROI
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:
UCF averaged 11.1 assists per game (356 assists/32 games) last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 15.1
UCF had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (356 assists/ 392 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
UCF is shooting 42% (584/1,386) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
UCF averaged 31.8 points per game (1,019 points/32 games) in the first half last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35.5
Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:
Baylor had an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 54%
Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Baylor had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 52%
Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:
UCF averaged 8.6 steals per game (275 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
UCF has averaged 8.2 steals per game (441 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
UCF averaged 8.6 steals per game (275 steals/32 games) last season — 4th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.2
UCF averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (800 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 25.7
Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% (9/34) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%
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