UMBC vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 8

Penn State head coach Mike Rhoades speaks during Big Ten NCAA college basketball Media Days Tuesday, Oct. 10, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
(AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
  • Penn State is a -22.5 point favorite vs UMBC
  • Total (Over/Under): 163.5 points
  • UMBC / Penn State TV channel: BTN

The UMBC Retrievers visit Bryce Jordan Center to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions on Nov. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in University Park, PA.

Penn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-110).

The UMBC vs. Penn State Over/Under is 163.5 total points.

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UMBC vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UMBC+22.5 -110O 163.5 -115+1400
Penn State -22.5 -110U 163.5 -105-5000

UMBC vs Penn State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UMBC vs Penn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 57.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UMBC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+12.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.90 Units / 76% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+13.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+8.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)

UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 0-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has a 1-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.35% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC shot 35% from three (246/692) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC averaged 25% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (490 free throw attempts/1,988 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC shot 47% (928/1,988) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UMBC averaged 78.8 points per game (2,443 points/31 games) last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,114 points/938 shots) in the first half last season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Penn State shot 75% from the free throw line (502/671) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Penn State shot 74% from the free throw line (209/283) in the first half last season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Penn State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (197 assists/ 171 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC averaged 5.2 steals per game (162 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UMBC allowed 80.9 points per game (2,508 points/31 games) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

UMBC averaged 25.9 defensive rebounds per game (804 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 25.7

UMBC allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (235/745) last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (731 rebounds/32 games) last season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Penn State stole the ball 266 times last season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State stole the ball 266 times last season — 10th most among Power Conference teams

Penn State averaged 8.3 steals per game (266 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.