UNLV vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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Air Force head coach Joe Scott reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against New Mexico in Albuquerque, N.M., Friday, Jan. 27, 2023.
(AP Photo/Eric Draper)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:21 AM
  • UNLV (13-9) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Air Force (7-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • UNLV / Air Force TV channel: FS1

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (13-9) visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons (7-17) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Colorado Springs, CO.

UNLV is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The UNLV vs. Air Force Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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UNLV vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV-5.5 -110O 133.5 -110-250
Air Force +5.5 -110U 133.5 -110+200

UNLV vs Air Force Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UNLV vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+17.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 28 games (+2.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has a 14-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.44% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.05 Units / 33.77% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 7-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.7 Units / -44.32% ROI).

  • 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -18.95% ROI
  • 18-6 when betting the Over for +11.4 Units / 43.35% ROI
  • 6-18 when betting the Under for -13.9 Units / -52.45% ROI

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has averaged 10.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

UNLV is shooting 34% from three (411/1,199) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

UNLV has an eFG% of 52% this season — 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

UNLV has averaged 15.0 assists per game (301 assists/20 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 67.9 points per game (1,494 points/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.2

Air Force is shooting 46% (524/1,147) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Air Force has averaged 7.3 offensive rebounds per game (394 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Air Force is shooting 37% from three (197/532) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (837 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.3

UNLV has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (139/416) this season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

UNLV has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (468 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

UNLV has averaged 8.4 steals per game (436 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (1,548 points/1,170 shots) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (489 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (3,694 points/2,888 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.