USC vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 17

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A coach with an Arizona branded tracksuit top holding one finger up in the air
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 17, 2024, 11:42 AM
  • Arizona (12-4) is a -19.5 point favorite vs USC (8-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • USC / Arizona TV channel: ESPN

The USC Trojans (8-9) visit McKale Memorial Center to take on the Arizona Wildcats (12-4) on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Tucson, AZ.

Arizona is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The USC vs. Arizona Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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USC vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
USC+19.5 -110O 158.5 -110+1200
Arizona -19.5 -110U 158.5 -110-3000

USC vs Arizona Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

USC vs Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • USC have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+0.30 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 21 games at home (+15.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 33 games (+13.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.85 Units / 16% ROI)

USC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

USC has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.75 Units / -100% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting the Over for +6.5 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting the Under for -8.2 Units / -100% ROI

Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arizona has a 12-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.55 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -100% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -100% ROI

USC Offensive Stats & Trends:

USC has averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,293 points/1,732 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

USC has averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (224 turnovers/17 games) this season — 3rd highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.2

USC is shooting 37% from three (239/648) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

USC is shooting 73% from the free throw line (721/984) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona is shooting 51% (1,073/2,090) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Arizona has averaged 1.43 points per shot (2,990 points/2,090 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Arizona has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,288 points/3,129 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Arizona has averaged 87.9 points per game (2,990 points/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 74.7

USC Defensive Stats & Trends:

USC has allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (76/188) in the second half this season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

USC has 120 steals this season — 4th most among Pac 12 Teams

USC has averaged 7.4 steals per game (222 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

USC has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (241/672) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona has averaged 29.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,510 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Arizona has averaged 29.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,510 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Arizona has averaged 29.9 defensive rebounds per game (478 rebounds/16 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.6

Arizona has 146 steals this season — most among Pac 12 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.