USC vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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California forward Grant Newell (14) looks down the court against UCLA during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Saturday, Feb. 18, 2023, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Allison Dinner)
(AP Photo/Allison Dinner)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2024, 11:13 AM
  • California (11-10) is a -2.5 point favorite vs USC (10-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • USC / California TV channel: PAC12

The USC Trojans (10-12) visit Haas Pavilion to take on the California Golden Bears (11-10) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Berkeley, CA.

California is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The USC vs. California Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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USC vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
USC+2.5 -110O 148.5 -110+120
California -2.5 -110U 148.5 -110-145

USC vs California Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts California will win this college basketball game with 57.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

USC vs California Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts USC will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • USC has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • USC have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • California has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)

USC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

USC has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -13.2% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.75 Units / -27.21% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI

California Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

California has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.05 Units / -8.49% ROI).

  • 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -22.15% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 8.71% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.25 Units / -17.49% ROI

USC Offensive Stats & Trends:

USC has averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.5

USC has averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/21 games) this season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

USC has averaged 6.6 turnovers per game (139 turnovers/21 games) in the second half this season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.6

USC is shooting 46% (850/1,855) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 46%

California Offensive Stats & Trends:

California has averaged 65.2 points per game (2,087 points/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 74.9

California is shooting 41% (726/1,749) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 46%

California has averaged 1.19 points per shot (2,087 points/1,749 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

California has an eFG% of 46% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

USC Defensive Stats & Trends:

USC has averaged 6.8 steals per game (143 steals/21 games) this season — 4th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

USC has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,346) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

USC has allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (93/241) in the second half this season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

USC has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (258/722) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

California Defensive Stats & Trends:

California has averaged 5.2 steals per game (166 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

California has allowed an average of 1.24 points per shot (2,222 points/1,799 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.13

California has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,836 points/1,532 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.10

California has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,385/3,079) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.