Valparaiso vs Belmont Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

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The Bellmont Bruins coach shouting
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2024, 1:20 PM
  • Belmont (15-15) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (18-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Valparaiso / Belmont TV channel: ESPN+

The Valparaiso Beacons (18-12) visit Enterprise Center to take on the Belmont Bruins (15-15) on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in St. Louis, MO.

Belmont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Valparaiso vs. Belmont Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Valparaiso vs. Belmont Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Valparaiso+13.5 -110O 155.5 -110+800
Belmont -13.5 -110U 155.5 -110-1400

Valparaiso vs Belmont Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Belmont will win this college basketball game with 89.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Valparaiso vs Belmont Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Belmont will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 away games (+20.80 Units / 149% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 14 away games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Belmont have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Belmont have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 18-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.75 Units / 14.37% ROI).

  • 6-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -41.6% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.81% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.45 Units / -10.5% ROI

Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Belmont has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI).

  • 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 20.42% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Over for -7.85 Units / -23.75% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 14.57% ROI

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso is shooting 41% (596/1,457) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Valparaiso has averaged 1.12 points per shot (1,630 points/1,457 shots) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Valparaiso has 16.1 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont is shooting 38% from three (519/1,358) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Belmont has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (172 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Belmont has made 8.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Belmont has averaged 7.9 offensive rebounds per game (441 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (151 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (642/1,398) this season — 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Valparaiso has forced 11.6 turnovers per game (651 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (4,133 points/3,280 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has averaged 7.7 steals per game (184 steals/24 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Belmont has averaged 7.3 steals per game (409 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Belmont has 184 steals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Belmont has 409 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.