Valparaiso vs Indiana State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2024, 11:19 AM
  • Indiana State (14-8) is a -21.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (14-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Valparaiso / Indiana State TV channel: ESPN+

The Valparaiso Beacons (14-8) visit Hulman Center to take on the Indiana State Sycamores (14-8) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Terre Haute, IN.

Indiana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-105).

The Valparaiso vs. Indiana State Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Valparaiso vs. Indiana State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Valparaiso+21.5 -115O 153.5 -105+2000
Indiana State -21.5 -105U 153.5 -115-10000

Valparaiso vs Indiana State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Indiana State will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Valparaiso vs Indiana State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Indiana State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 14 away games (+12.10 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 games (+15.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games (+9.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 14-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.44% ROI).

  • 5-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -36.66% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -13.17% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 4.56% ROI

Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana State has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.15 Units / 13.07% ROI).

  • 17-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 9.48% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.76% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -21.58% ROI

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 1.13 points per shot (1,491 points/1,322 shots) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso has 16.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Valparaiso has averaged 67.8 points per game (1,491 points/22 games) this season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1

Valparaiso is shooting 41% (543/1,322) this season — 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has attempted 1,592 threes since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has attempted 633 threes this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has made 252 three-pointers this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has made 201 two point field goals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has forced 12.4 turnovers per game (273 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Valparaiso has allowed 71.9 points per game (1,581 points/22 games) this season — 3rd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.0

Valparaiso has forced 11.5 turnovers per game (622 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (394/1,162) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (622 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Indiana State has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,611 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Indiana State has averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (622 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (391/1,210) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.