Valparaiso vs Northern Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 6:43 PM
  • Northern Iowa (14-14) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (16-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Valparaiso / Northern Iowa TV channel: ESPN+

The Valparaiso Beacons (16-12) visit McLeod Center to take on the Northern Iowa Panthers (14-14) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Cedar Falls, IA.

Northern Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Valparaiso vs. Northern Iowa Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Valparaiso vs. Northern Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Valparaiso+15.5 -110O 146.5 -110+850
Northern Iowa -15.5 -110U 146.5 -110-1600

Valparaiso vs Northern Iowa Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Iowa will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Valparaiso vs Northern Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Iowa will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 away games (+20.65 Units / 146% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.75 Units / 8.9% ROI).

  • 5-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -47.95% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.26% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / -10.93% ROI

Northern Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Iowa has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.56% ROI).

  • 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -3.41% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.55 Units / -11.53% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.65 Units / 2.11% ROI

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso is shooting 41% (596/1,457) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Valparaiso has averaged 1.12 points per shot (1,630 points/1,457 shots) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Valparaiso has 16.1 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Northern Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (429 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Northern Iowa has averaged 72.5 points per game (1,741 points/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.4

Northern Iowa has averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (186 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Northern Iowa has averaged 71.2 points per game (3,985 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.4

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (151 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (642/1,398) this season — 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Valparaiso has forced 11.6 turnovers per game (651 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (4,133 points/3,280 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Northern Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has averaged 6.1 steals per game (147 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Northern Iowa has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Northern Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (188/550) this season — tied for 4th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Northern Iowa has allowed 70.3 points per game (3,939 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.