Vanderbilt vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 6:43 PM
  • Arkansas (9-18) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Vanderbilt (11-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Vanderbilt / Arkansas TV channel: SECN

The Vanderbilt Commodores (11-15) visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (9-18) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Fayetteville, AR.

Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Vanderbilt+10.5 -110O 144.5 -110+400
Arkansas -10.5 -110U 144.5 -110-550

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 83.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 13 away games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)

Vanderbilt Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Vanderbilt has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.45 Units / -18.38% ROI).

  • 7-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.6 Units / -31.57% ROI
  • 8-18 when betting the Over for -11.75 Units / -39.56% ROI
  • 18-8 when betting the Under for +9.25 Units / 31.14% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 9-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.9 Units / -36.52% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -7% ROI
  • 19-8 when betting the Over for +10.2 Units / 34.34% ROI
  • 8-19 when betting the Under for -12.9 Units / -43.43% ROI

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt is shooting 28% from three (147/519) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Vanderbilt has an eFG% of 45% this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Vanderbilt has averaged 1.05 points per shot (674 points/640 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Vanderbilt is shooting 28% from three (147/519) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (558 free throw attempts/1,209 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.5 steals per game (204 steals/37 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Vanderbilt has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (183/491) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Vanderbilt has averaged 6.1 steals per game (135 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.5 steals per game (322 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (900 points/655 shots) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (84/225) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Arkansas has allowed 42.9 points per game (900 points/21 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.