Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2024, 11:33 AM
  • Kentucky (17-12) is a -17.5 point favorite vs Vanderbilt (12-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 160.5 points
  • Vanderbilt / Kentucky TV channel: SECN

The Vanderbilt Commodores (12-16) visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (17-12) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Lexington, KY.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 160.5 total points.

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Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Vanderbilt+17.5 -110O 160.5 -105+1100
Kentucky -17.5 -110U 160.5 -115-2500

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 13 away games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+1.85 Units / 1% ROI)

Vanderbilt Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Vanderbilt has a 12-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.55 Units / -17.43% ROI).

  • 8-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.45 Units / -27.86% ROI
  • 9-19 when betting the Over for -11.85 Units / -37.15% ROI
  • 19-9 when betting the Under for +9.15 Units / 28.68% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 17-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -4.11% ROI
  • 21-8 when betting the Over for +12.2 Units / 38.18% ROI
  • 8-21 when betting the Under for -15.05 Units / -47.25% ROI

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt is shooting 28% from three (147/519) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Vanderbilt has an eFG% of 45% this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Vanderbilt has averaged 1.05 points per shot (674 points/640 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Vanderbilt is shooting 28% from three (147/519) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 91.0 points per game (1,911 points/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Kentucky is shooting 41% from three (216/527) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (385 assists/ 207 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has a TS% of 53% this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.5 steals per game (204 steals/37 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Vanderbilt has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (183/491) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Vanderbilt has averaged 6.1 steals per game (135 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.5 steals per game (322 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (915/2,162) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (273/837) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Kentucky has allowed 70.4 points per game (2,535 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Kentucky has allowed 79.3 points per game (1,666 points/21 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.