Vanderbilt vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:44 AM
  • Mississippi State (9-8) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Vanderbilt (7-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Vanderbilt / Mississippi State TV channel: SECN

The Vanderbilt Commodores (7-10) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-8) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Starkville, MS.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Vanderbilt+13.5 -110O 137.5 -110+625
Mississippi State -13.5 -110U 137.5 -110-1000

Vanderbilt vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 91.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Vanderbilt vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+8.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 away games (+3.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Vanderbilt Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Vanderbilt has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.95 Units / -21.18% ROI).

  • 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.95 Units / -31.02% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.05 Units / -37.8% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 29.33% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.15 Units / 0.8% ROI).

  • 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 1.92% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.85 Units / -9.92% ROI

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt has averaged 10.3 assists per game (362 assists/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 14.5

Vanderbilt is shooting 40% (394/984) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 46%

Vanderbilt is shooting 29% from three (117/409) this season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Vanderbilt has averaged 1.06 points per shot (1,750 points/1,645 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 6.6 turnovers per game (113 turnovers/17 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (306/1,067) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (234/358) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (685/1,024) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.5 steals per game (298 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.6 steals per game (195 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Vanderbilt has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (136/363) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.5 steals per game (298 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (107/384) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (436 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (107/384) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Mississippi State has 436 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th most among Power Conference teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.