Villanova vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:34 PM
  • Butler (9-10) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Villanova (10-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Villanova / Butler TV channel: FS1

The Villanova Wildcats (10-9) visit Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on the Butler Bulldogs (9-10) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

Butler is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Villanova vs. Butler Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Villanova vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Villanova+1.5 -110O 138.5 -105+105
Butler -1.5 -110U 138.5 -115-125

Villanova vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Butler will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Villanova vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Villanova will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Villanova has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+4.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+3.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Villanova has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.05 Units / 0.24% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -10.8% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.2 Units / -20% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2 Units / -9.55% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 7.71% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.98% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -19.23% ROI

Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (740/904) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (740/904) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Villanova is shooting 83% from the free throw line (336/405) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 75%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (740/904) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (305 assists/ 209 TOs) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Butler has 16.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Butler is shooting 79% from the free throw line (293/372) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Butler is shooting 79% from the free throw line (293/372) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova has allowed 66.9 points per game (870 points/13 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.7

Villanova has allowed 30.9 points per game (587 points/19 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 33.0

Villanova has allowed 66.5 points per game (1,264 points/19 games) this season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 69.9

Villanova has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (647 points/528 shots) in the second half this season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,445 points/1,285 shots) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (141/452) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (534 rebounds/20 games) this season — 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (158/504) this season — 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.