Villanova vs Xavier Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2024, 11:11 AM
  • Xavier (14-8) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Villanova (11-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Villanova / Xavier TV channel: FS1

The Villanova Wildcats (11-11) visit Cintas Center to take on the Xavier Musketeers (14-8) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.

Xavier is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Villanova vs. Xavier Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Villanova vs. Xavier Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Villanova+3.5 -115O 147.5 -110+135
Xavier -3.5 -105U 147.5 -110-160

Villanova vs Xavier Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Xavier will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Villanova vs Xavier Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Villanova will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Villanova has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Villanova has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.15 Units / -4.74% ROI).

  • 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.65 Units / -11.43% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -13.58% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 14-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.2 Units / -14.31% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.78% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.25 Units / -21.74% ROI

Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (763/931) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (763/931) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Villanova has averaged 12.0 assists per game (263 assists/22 games) this season — lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Villanova has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (209 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,069 assists/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Xavier is shooting 37% from three (432/1,154) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Xavier has averaged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (287 rebounds/22 games) this season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Xavier is shooting 38% from three (228/602) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova has allowed 64.1 points per game (1,026 points/16 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.2

Villanova has allowed 64.5 points per game (1,420 points/22 games) this season — 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Villanova has averaged 5.4 steals per game (119 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 46th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Villanova has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (165/501) this season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 33%

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,631 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Xavier has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (606 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Xavier has 154 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among Big East Teams

Xavier has averaged 6.6 steals per game (390 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.