Virginia vs Florida State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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Florida State head coach Leonard Hamilton gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023. Florida State won 71-64.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 11:16 AM
  • Virginia (13-9) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Florida State (12-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Virginia / Florida State TV channel: CW

The Virginia Cavaliers (13-9) visit Donald L. Tucker Center to take on the Florida State Seminoles (12-9) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Tallahassee, FL.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Virginia vs. Florida State Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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Virginia vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia-1.5 -115O 128.5 -105-135
Florida State +1.5 -105U 128.5 -115+110

Virginia vs Florida State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia vs Florida State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+6.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 14-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 20.55% ROI).

  • 15-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 8.66% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -25.83% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 16.73% ROI

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 11-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.05 Units / 0.21% ROI).

  • 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -13.08% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (193 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.5

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (335/489) this season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Florida State has a 36% free throw rate (489 free throw attempts/1,361 field goal attempts) this season — 40th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Florida State has an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Florida State is shooting 33% from three (348/1,064) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 56.9 points per game (1,309 points/23 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 70.3

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Florida State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (204 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.