Virginia Tech vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

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North Carolina head coach Hubert Davis directs his team against Boston College during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 17, 2024, 8:14 AM
  • North Carolina (14-11) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Virginia Tech (11-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Virginia Tech / North Carolina TV channel: ACCN

The Virginia Tech Hokies (11-13) visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (14-11) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia Tech+10.5 -115O 154.5 -110+400
North Carolina -10.5 -105U 154.5 -110-550

Virginia Tech vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 83.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia Tech vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia Tech will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+3.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.25 Units / 12% ROI)

Virginia Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia Tech has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.25 Units / -16.1% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.28% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 2.82% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -12.19% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.85 Units / 6.7% ROI).

  • 15-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.75% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.7% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia Tech has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (167 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Virginia Tech has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (560 assists/ 347 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Virginia Tech has averaged 73.5 points per game (1,544 points/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 75.1

Virginia Tech has averaged 1.45 points per shot (831 points/573 shots) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.36

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has 677 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,302 free throw attempts/3,445 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Virginia Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (186 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (294 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.6 steals per game (117 steals/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Virginia Tech has allowed 30.3 points per game (637 points/21 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (807 points/717 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (282/717) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.