Virginia Tech vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 17

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Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 17, 2024, 11:43 AM
  • Virginia (8-8) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Virginia Tech (7-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
  • Virginia Tech / Virginia TV channel: ESPNU

The Virginia Tech Hokies (7-9) visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (8-8) on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlottesville, VA.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Virginia Tech vs. Virginia Over/Under is 125.5 total points.

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Virginia Tech vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia Tech+4.5 -115O 125.5 -110+155
Virginia -4.5 -105U 125.5 -110-190

Virginia Tech vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia Tech vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia Tech will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+11.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+8.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+3.95 Units / 16% ROI)

Virginia Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia Tech has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / -100% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / -100% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Over for -5.05 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / -100% ROI

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia Tech has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (768 assists/ 530 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia Tech has averaged 8.1 assists per game (404 assists/50 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Virginia Tech has made 288 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

Virginia Tech has averaged 15.4 assists per game (768 assists/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (253 assists/ 163 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (765 assists/ 413 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (413 turnovers/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Virginia has averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (413 turnovers/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.8

Virginia Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (265 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.5 steals per game (88 steals/16 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (265 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (174 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has allowed 27.0 points per game (1,324 points/49 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.1

Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (2,921 points/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 70.2

Virginia has allowed 27.0 points per game (1,324 points/49 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.1

Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (2,921 points/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 70.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.