Wagner vs Merrimack Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2024, 12:27 PM
  • Merrimack (17-12) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Wagner (13-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 118.5 points
  • Wagner / Merrimack TV channel: ESPN2

The Wagner Seahawks (13-15) visit Lawler Arena to take on the Merrimack Warriors (17-12) on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in North Andover, MA.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Wagner vs. Merrimack Over/Under is 118.5 total points.

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Wagner vs. Merrimack Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wagner+7.5 -110O 118.5 -105+260
Merrimack -7.5 -110U 118.5 -115-350

Wagner vs Merrimack Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Wagner vs Merrimack Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Wagner will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Wagner has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games (+14.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Wagner has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wagner has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wagner have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Wagner has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+6.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.55 Units / 14% ROI)

Wagner Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wagner has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -7.79% ROI).

  • 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 6.08% ROI
  • 10-18 when betting the Over for -9.8 Units / -31.82% ROI
  • 18-10 when betting the Under for +7 Units / 22.73% ROI

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 17-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 11.84% ROI).

  • 20-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.85 Units / 13.53% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -23.83% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Under for +4.85 Units / 14.76% ROI

Wagner Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wagner has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (517 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Wagner has averaged 10.8 offensive rebounds per game (540 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 8.6

Wagner has averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (197 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Wagner is shooting 46% from inside the arc (246/539) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Merrimack is shooting 57% from inside the arc (341/603) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 51%

Merrimack is shooting 31% from three (416/1,328) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Merrimack has averaged 6.9 offensive rebounds per game (166 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Wagner Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wagner has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (298/968) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Wagner has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (147/489) this season — best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Wagner has allowed 62.8 points per game (1,382 points/22 games) this season — best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 72.0

Wagner has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (505/1,187) this season — 3rd best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 10.7 steals per game (622 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Merrimack has averaged 10.1 steals per game (242 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Merrimack has averaged 10.1 steals per game (242 steals/24 games) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Merrimack has averaged 10.7 steals per game (622 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.