Wake Forest vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 22

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North Carolina head coach Hubert Davis directs his team against Boston College during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 22, 2024, 10:58 AM
  • North Carolina (11-7) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Wake Forest (10-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Wake Forest / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (10-7) visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (11-7) on Jan. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wake Forest+8.5 -115O 156.5 -110+280
North Carolina -8.5 -105U 156.5 -110-375

Wake Forest vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Wake Forest vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 31 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Wake Forest Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wake Forest has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.25 Units / 6.33% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 9.84% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.35 Units / 21.8% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -30.53% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 11-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.25 Units / 16.37% ROI).

  • 11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 10.95% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.95 Units / -4.79% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.9 Units / -4.56% ROI

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest is shooting 40% from three (270/668) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Wake Forest is shooting 80% from the free throw line (277/346) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Wake Forest is shooting 43% from three (97/223) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Wake Forest has averaged 1.33 points per shot (693 points/523 shots) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has 308 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has 23.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.9

North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,189 free throw attempts/3,118 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%

North Carolina has 23.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (59/150) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (205/537) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (245/522) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 41%

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (79/294) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,248 points/1,123 shots) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

North Carolina has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (122/420) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.