Wake Forest vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

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Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 17, 2024, 8:08 AM
  • Virginia (14-10) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Wake Forest (12-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Wake Forest / Virginia TV channel: ESPN2

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (12-11) visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (14-10) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Charlottesville, VA.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Wake Forest vs. Virginia Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Wake Forest vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wake Forest+3.5 -110O 130.5 -110+130
Virginia -3.5 -110U 130.5 -110-155

Wake Forest vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Wake Forest vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 31 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games at home (+9.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+8.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)

Wake Forest Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wake Forest has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.17% ROI).

  • 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 7.04% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 15.04% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.3 Units / -24.05% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 15-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.1 Units / 18.55% ROI).

  • 16-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 6.25% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -16.58% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.33% ROI

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest is shooting 40% from three (288/725) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Wake Forest has averaged 1.30 points per shot (879 points/676 shots) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.16

Wake Forest is shooting 80% from the free throw line (349/437) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Wake Forest has averaged 1.34 points per shot (1,844 points/1,373 shots) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (299 assists/ 189 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (612 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Wake Forest has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,472 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Wake Forest has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (283/686) in the second half this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1

Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (953 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.