Western Illinois vs Little Rock Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

Darrell Walker Arkansas Little Rock
(AP Photo)
  • Little Rock (18-13) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Western Illinois (14-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Western Illinois / Little Rock TV channel: ESPNU

The Western Illinois Leathernecks (14-13) visit Ford Center to take on the Little Rock Trojans (18-13) on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Evansville, IN.

Little Rock is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-120).

The Western Illinois vs. Little Rock Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Western Illinois vs. Little Rock Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Illinois+5.5 +100O 135.5 -115+200
Little Rock -5.5 -120U 135.5 -105-250

Western Illinois vs Little Rock Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Little Rock will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Illinois vs Little Rock Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Illinois will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games (+19.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Western Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 23 games (+14.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Western Illinois have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 12 away games (+9.95 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Little Rock have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Little Rock have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)

Western Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Illinois has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.15 Units / -0.49% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 26.18% ROI
  • 9-18 when betting the Over for -10.8 Units / -35.01% ROI
  • 18-9 when betting the Under for +8.15 Units / 26.5% ROI

Little Rock Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Little Rock has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.75 Units / 11.03% ROI).

  • 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 6.04% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -4.4% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -4.4% ROI

Western Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Illinois is shooting 60% from the free throw line (299/495) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Illinois has averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (318 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Western Illinois is shooting 66% from the free throw line (691/1,055) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Illinois has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Little Rock Offensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has made 6.9 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Little Rock has averaged 14.7 assists per game (808 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.0

Little Rock has a TS% of 48% this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Little Rock has averaged 14.5 assists per game (348 assists/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Western Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Illinois has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (633 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Western Illinois has averaged 5.4 steals per game (130 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Western Illinois has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,561 points/1,445 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Western Illinois has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,561 points/1,445 shots) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Little Rock Defensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (563 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Little Rock has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (4,289 points/3,258 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Little Rock has averaged 5.8 steals per game (140 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Little Rock has allowed 76.2 points per game (1,828 points/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 70.9


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.