Western Illinois vs Morehead State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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No 3 Morehead State player dribbling the ball
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:38 PM
  • Morehead State (12-4) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Western Illinois (9-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Western Illinois / Morehead State TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Illinois Leathernecks (9-7) visit Johnson Arena to take on the Morehead State Eagles (12-4) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Morehead, KY.

Morehead State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Western Illinois vs. Morehead State Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Western Illinois vs. Morehead State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Illinois+9.5 -105O 129.5 -110+400
Morehead State -9.5 -115U 129.5 -110-550

Western Illinois vs Morehead State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Morehead State will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Illinois vs Morehead State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+5.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games (+21.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Morehead State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Morehead State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)

Western Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Illinois has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 8% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 33.83% ROI
  • 4-12 when betting the Over for -9.2 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • 12-4 when betting the Under for +7.6 Units / 43.18% ROI

Morehead State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morehead State has a 12-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.6 Units / 43.3% ROI).

  • 11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 20.43% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.37% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.85 Units / -16.24% ROI

Western Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Illinois is shooting 61% from the free throw line (261/429) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Illinois has averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (273 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Western Illinois has averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (273 rebounds/20 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Western Illinois is shooting 44% (517/1,179) this season — 5th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%

Morehead State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has made 9.3 three-pointers per game this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Morehead State has an eFG% of 55% this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 50%

Morehead State has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Morehead State has averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (251 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Western Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Illinois has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (542 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Western Illinois has averaged 5.4 steals per game (108 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Western Illinois has averaged 5.4 steals per game (108 steals/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Western Illinois has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (542 rebounds/20 games) this season — 3rd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Morehead State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morehead State has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (547 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Morehead State has allowed 65.3 points per game (3,528 points/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 72.8

Morehead State has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (547 rebounds/20 games) this season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Morehead State has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (443/1,150) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.