Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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A basketball coach with a red t-shirt with a LU logo printed on it
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:15 AM
  • Liberty (12-15) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Western Kentucky (15-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Western Kentucky / Liberty TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (15-11) visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames (12-15) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Lynchburg, VA.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Western Kentucky vs. Liberty Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Western Kentucky vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Kentucky+5.5 -105O 152.5 -115+200
Liberty -5.5 -115U 152.5 -105-250

Western Kentucky vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Kentucky vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+2.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 4.3% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -11.96% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 3.53% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -14.86% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.55 Units / -23.12% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.04% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -14.86% ROI

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (321 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Western Kentucky is shooting 47% (682/1,455) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Kentucky has averaged 80.7 points per game (1,857 points/23 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Western Kentucky is shooting 45% (1,521/3,362) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 45%

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (660 assists/ 395 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Liberty has a TS% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 48%

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (390 assists/ 218 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty has made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (647 rebounds/23 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Western Kentucky has 374 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Conference USA Teams

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (182/600) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (485/1,450) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed 62.0 points per game (3,657 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (999 points/866 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Liberty has allowed 63.6 points per game (1,463 points/23 games) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Liberty has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.