Western Michigan vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 30, 2024, 11:18 AM
  • Toledo (10-10) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Western Michigan (12-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Western Michigan / Toledo TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Michigan Broncos (12-7) visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets (10-10) on Jan. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Toledo, OH.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Western Michigan vs. Toledo Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Western Michigan vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan+11.5 -105O 156.5 -110+525
Toledo -11.5 -115U 156.5 -110-750

Western Michigan vs Toledo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 87.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Michigan vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+11.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 12-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI).

  • 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -6.38% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -4.76% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 2.6% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has averaged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (234 rebounds/20 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Western Michigan is shooting 61% from the free throw line (228/374) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan has 234 offensive rebounds this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Western Michigan has averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (266 turnovers/20 games) this season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (771 assists/ 537 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo is shooting 49% (1,623/3,331) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has averaged 83.1 points per game (4,572 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Toledo has averaged 79.2 points per game (1,583 points/20 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.2

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (507 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.2

Western Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (250 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Western Michigan has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/20 games) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Western Michigan has averaged 5.4 steals per game (107 steals/20 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (445 rebounds/20 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Toledo has 145 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (445 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Toledo has averaged 7.2 steals per game (145 steals/20 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.