Wright State vs Northern Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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A team manager dressed in a dark blue suit, shouting something at his team on the field
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 1:07 PM
  • Wright State (9-12) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Northern Kentucky (11-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Wright State / Northern Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+

The Wright State Raiders (9-12) visit Truist Arena to take on the Northern Kentucky Norse (11-9) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Highland Heights, KY.

Wright State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Wright State vs. Northern Kentucky Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Wright State vs. Northern Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wright State-1.5 -110O 159.5 -115-125
Northern Kentucky +1.5 -110U 159.5 -105+105

Wright State vs Northern Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Wright State will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Wright State vs Northern Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Kentucky will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Wright State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wright State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wright State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Wright State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)

Wright State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wright State has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -14.42% ROI
  • 16-4 when betting the Over for +11.6 Units / 50.33% ROI
  • 4-16 when betting the Under for -13.65 Units / -58.96% ROI

Northern Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Kentucky has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 5.01% ROI).

  • 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -4.62% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 4.99% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.05 Units / -13.9% ROI

Wright State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wright State is shooting 53% (743/1,391) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 45%

Wright State is shooting 51% (1,774/3,468) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 45%

Wright State has a TS% of 54% this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 48%

Wright State is shooting 51% (1,774/3,468) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Northern Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky has a 39% free throw rate (483 free throw attempts/1,251 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 31%

Northern Kentucky has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Northern Kentucky is shooting 31% from three (125/406) this season — 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 33%

Northern Kentucky is shooting 45% (567/1,251) this season — 5th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 45%

Wright State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wright State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (342 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Wright State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,388 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Wright State has averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (533 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Wright State has averaged 5.9 steals per game (135 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Northern Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky has averaged 9.3 steals per game (529 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Northern Kentucky has averaged 9.3 steals per game (529 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Northern Kentucky has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Northern Kentucky has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,199 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.