Xavier vs Providence Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 13

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Providence guard Devin Carter (22) looks for an open man during the second half of a first-round college basketball game against Kentucky in the NCAA Tournament on Friday, March 17, 2023, in Greensboro, N.C. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 10:39 AM
  • Providence (9-6) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Xavier (9-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Xavier / Providence TV channel: FS1

The Xavier Musketeers (9-6) visit Amica Mutual Pavilion to take on the Providence Friars (9-6) on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Providence, RI.

Providence is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Xavier vs. Providence Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Xavier vs. Providence Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Xavier+3.5 -115O 142.5 -110+130
Providence -3.5 -105U 142.5 -110-160

Xavier vs Providence Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Providence will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Xavier vs Providence Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Xavier will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+6.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+5.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 9-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 0% ROI

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 11-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 0% ROI
  • 4-12 when betting the Over for -9.2 Units / 0% ROI
  • 12-4 when betting the Under for +7.6 Units / 0% ROI

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 18.5 assists per game (962 assists/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Xavier is shooting 37% from three (177/474) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (962 assists/ 648 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Xavier is shooting 37% from three (135/365) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 33%

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence is shooting 61% from the free throw line (68/111) in the first half this season — lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Providence has a 35% free throw rate (1,008 free throw attempts/2,905 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence has a 35% free throw rate (1,008 free throw attempts/2,905 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Providence has averaged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (563 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,445 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Xavier has 106 steals this season — 4th most among Big East Teams

Xavier has averaged 7.0 steals per game (232 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Xavier has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,050 points/947 shots) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,322 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Providence has allowed 29.0 points per game (464 points/16 games) in the first half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Providence has averaged 6.5 steals per game (117 steals/18 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Providence has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,036 points/961 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.