Xavier vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 11:13 AM
  • UConn (20-11) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Xavier (16-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Xavier / UConn TV channel: FS1

The Xavier Musketeers (16-16) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the UConn Huskies (20-11) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in New York, NY.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Xavier vs. UConn Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Xavier vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Xavier+15.5 -110O 148.5 -110+1000
UConn -15.5 -110U 148.5 -110-2000

Xavier vs UConn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Xavier vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 14 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 29 games (+24.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+11.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 16-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.45 Units / -1.28% ROI).

  • 16-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -12.8% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.42% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.12% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has a 17-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9.25 Units / 34.97% ROI).

  • 21-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.5 Units / 6% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.9% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -4.38% ROI

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,105 assists/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Xavier has 765 assists at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big East Teams

Xavier has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,105 assists/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.1

Xavier has averaged 40.9 points per game (2,496 points/61 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 38.5

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 1.40 points per shot (1,950 points/1,392 shots) this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.26

UConn has averaged 17.9 assists per game (429 assists/24 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (429 assists/ 246 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UConn has averaged 1.35 points per shot (5,014 points/3,725 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (660 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Xavier has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,685 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Xavier has averaged 7.0 steals per game (167 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Xavier has averaged 6.6 steals per game (403 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (689/1,732) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 44%

UConn has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (641 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (258/665) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 43%

UConn has allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.