Youngstown State vs Purdue Fort Wayne Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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No 32 basketball player from Port Wayne trying to pass the NBA game ball while an opponent defends
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 1:01 PM
  • Youngstown State (12-7) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Purdue Fort Wayne (10-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Youngstown State / Purdue Fort Wayne TV channel: ESPN+

The Youngstown State Penguins (12-7) visit Gates Sports Center to take on the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (10-9) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Fort Wayne, IN.

Youngstown State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Youngstown State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Youngstown State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Youngstown State-5.5 -105O 153.5 -110-225
Purdue Fort Wayne +5.5 -115U 153.5 -110+180

Youngstown State vs Purdue Fort Wayne Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Youngstown State will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Youngstown State vs Purdue Fort Wayne Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue Fort Wayne will cover the spread with 56.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Youngstown State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Youngstown State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Youngstown State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Youngstown State has a 12-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 20.62% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 14.94% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -1.95 Units / -9.35% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI

Purdue Fort Wayne Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue Fort Wayne has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.05 Units / 0.23% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -2.49% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5.01% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.15 Units / -14.29% ROI

Youngstown State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Youngstown State has averaged 81.9 points per game (4,671 points/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Youngstown State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (888 assists/ 608 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Youngstown State has a TS% of 51% this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Youngstown State has averaged 82.0 points per game (1,886 points/23 games) this season — 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1

Purdue Fort Wayne Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (228 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Purdue Fort Wayne has made 9.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Purdue Fort Wayne has an eFG% of 54% this season — 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Purdue Fort Wayne has made 9.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Youngstown State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Youngstown State has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (608 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Youngstown State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,584 points/1,396 shots) this season — best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 1.27

Youngstown State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,415 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Youngstown State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (574/1,396) this season — best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Purdue Fort Wayne Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 10.0 steals per game (220 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Purdue Fort Wayne has forced 17.0 turnovers per game (374 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 12.3

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 10.0 steals per game (220 steals/22 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Purdue Fort Wayne has forced 17.0 turnovers per game (374 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.