Nebraska vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 16

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 9:56 AM
  • Illinois (16-13) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Nebraska (21-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Nebraska / Illinois TV channel: CBS

The Nebraska Cornhuskers (21-11) visit Target Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (16-13) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Nebraska vs. Illinois Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Nebraska vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nebraska+4.5 -110O 153.5 -115+165
Illinois -4.5 -110U 153.5 -105-200

Nebraska vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nebraska vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Nebraska will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nebraska has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+13.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+1.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 33 games (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)

Nebraska Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nebraska has a 21-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.95 Units / 25.43% ROI).

  • 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.65 Units / 13.02% ROI
  • 20-11 when betting the Over for +7.9 Units / 22.44% ROI
  • 11-20 when betting the Under for -11 Units / -31.25% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.65 Units / 4.68% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 2.11% ROI
  • 22-10 when betting the Over for +10.95 Units / 31.06% ROI
  • 10-22 when betting the Under for -14.2 Units / -40.4% ROI

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nebraska has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (303 assists/ 306 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Nebraska has made 228 three-pointers this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Nebraska is shooting 76% from the free throw line (366/481) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Nebraska has averaged 15.4 assists per game (370 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (446/1,389) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,896 points/1,449 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (246 assists/ 248 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nebraska has allowed 10.0 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Nebraska has allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Nebraska has allowed 9.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.5

Nebraska has averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (676 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,620 points/1,482 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.