Nevada vs Colorado State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 10:51 AM
  • Colorado State (15-11) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Nevada (18-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Nevada / Colorado State TV channel: FS1

The Nevada Wolf Pack (18-9) visit Moby Arena to take on the Colorado State Rams (15-11) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Fort Collins, CO.

Colorado State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Nevada vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Nevada vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nevada+7.5 -110O 140.5 -110+275
Colorado State -7.5 -110U 140.5 -110-350

Nevada vs Colorado State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nevada vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+6.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.80 Units / 18% ROI)

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 19-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.25 Units / 34.63% ROI).

  • 22-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.3 Units / 12.55% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Over for -8.75 Units / -29.36% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Under for +6.05 Units / 20.44% ROI

Colorado State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Colorado State has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 1.47% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.55 Units / -22.94% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 13.61% ROI

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has a 42% free throw rate (1,310 free throw attempts/3,135 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada has 25.1 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Nevada has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (570 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Nevada has a TS% of 47% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State has a TS% of 53% this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

Colorado State has an eFG% of 58% this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (453 assists/ 235 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Colorado State has averaged 19.7 assists per game (453 assists/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,589 points/1,348 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Nevada has allowed 66.2 points per game (1,589 points/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State has allowed 67.8 points per game (1,559 points/23 games) this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Colorado State has allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Colorado State has allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (1,559 points/1,311 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Colorado State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,387 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.