New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

Western Kentucky player number 13 defending the basketball from Louisiana Tech player number 22.
(AP Photo)
  • Western Kentucky (14-8) is a -9.5 point favorite vs New Mexico State (9-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • New Mexico State / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+

The New Mexico State Aggies (9-11) visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (14-8) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Bowling Green, KY.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico State+9.5 -115O 154.5 -110+340
Western Kentucky -9.5 -105U 154.5 -110-450

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 80.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)

New Mexico State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico State has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -13.39% ROI).

  • 7-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -23.4% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.33% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.33% ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 14.44% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.25 Units / -13.32% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1.15 Units / 4.79% ROI

New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (270 assists/ 290 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

New Mexico State is shooting 45% from inside the arc (190/425) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

New Mexico State has averaged 11.7 assists per game (270 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

New Mexico State is shooting 35% from three (128/364) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (321 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Western Kentucky is shooting 47% (682/1,455) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Kentucky has averaged 80.7 points per game (1,857 points/23 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Western Kentucky is shooting 45% (1,521/3,362) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 45%

New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (372/922) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 43%

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (740/1,751) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 43%

New Mexico State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,088 points/922 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (647 rebounds/23 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Western Kentucky has 374 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Conference USA Teams

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (182/600) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (485/1,450) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.