New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:48 AM
  • Utah State (14-12) is a -3.5 point favorite vs New Mexico (18-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • New Mexico / Utah State TV channel: CBSSN

The New Mexico Lobos (18-11) visit Dee Glen Smith Spectrum to take on the Utah State Aggies (14-12) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Logan, UT.

Utah State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The New Mexico vs. Utah State Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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New Mexico vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico+3.5 -110O 159.5 -105+145
Utah State -3.5 -110U 159.5 -115-175

New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Utah State will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

New Mexico vs Utah State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Utah State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI).

  • 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.85 Units / -14.25% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI

Utah State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah State has a 12-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.25 Units / -7.59% ROI).

  • 21-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.65 Units / 9.74% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Over for +5.05 Units / 17.03% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.6 Units / -25.55% ROI

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,942 points/23 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

New Mexico has averaged 84.4 points per game (1,942 points/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.2

New Mexico has 23.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has averaged 16.9 assists per game (964 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Utah State is shooting 32% from three (131/409) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Utah State has averaged 17.1 assists per game (377 assists/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Utah State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (377 assists/ 254 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 9.7 steals per game (223 steals/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.8

New Mexico has 223 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams

New Mexico has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

New Mexico has forced 15.5 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/23 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (127/449) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Utah State has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Utah State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (590 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Utah State has allowed 68.7 points per game (1,511 points/22 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.