Browns vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

BetMGM Betting Dec 31, 2025, 4:12 PM

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A Cincinnati Bengals helmet sits on the turf prior to an NFL Football game against the Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Sep. 29, 2024, in Charlotte, N.C. (AP Photo/Brian Westerholt)

(AP Photo/Brian Westerholt)

The Bengals are -7.5 point favorites vs the Browns
Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Cleveland Browns (4-12-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (6-10-0) on Jan. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Browns vs. Bengals Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Browns vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Browns vs. Bengals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Browns vs Bengals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
Cedric Tillman has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 53% ROI)
Harold Fannin Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 52% ROI)
Quinshon Judkins has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Jerry Jeudy has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

Tee Higgins has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
Noah Fant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
Samaje Perine has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Tee Higgins has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Chase Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)

Browns Best Bets:

The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units / 25% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 38% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)

Bengals Best Bets:

The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 81% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.60 Units / 69% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 52% ROI)

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 7-9 (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI).

Browns are 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -32.29% ROI
Browns are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
Browns are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Bengals are 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -9.83% ROI
Bengals are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
Bengals are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

Offenses facing the Bengals targeted WRs 46% of the time (392 Pass Attempts/845 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 56%.

The Bengals defense has allowed first downs on 52% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Bengals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 68% first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 60% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Browns have run successful plays on 41% of pass attempts on first read passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Browns have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Browns have run successful plays on 33% of plays in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Browns have run successful plays on 35% of plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals