Browns vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

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Bengals player in an orange and black uniform is pointing.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 07, 2024, 9:37 AM
  • The Bengals are -6 point favorites vs the Browns
  • Total (Over/Under): 39 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Cleveland Browns (10-5) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (6-8) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Browns vs. Bengals Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.

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Browns vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Browns+6 -11039 -110+220
Bengals -6 -11039 -110-275

Browns vs. Bengals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 18 game with 63.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Browns vs Bengals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence.


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Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Amari Cooper has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Harrison Bryant has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 67% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Longest Rush Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns went 10-5 (+4.5 Units / 25.35% ROI).

  • Browns are 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.45 Units / 33.33% ROI
  • Browns are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 13.64% ROI
  • Browns are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals went 6-8 (-2.65 Units / -15.06% ROI).

  • Bengals are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 2.9% ROI
  • Bengals are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • Bengals are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Browns are undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run defenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .444.

The Browns are undefeated (4-0) since Week 14 — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Browns are 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.

The Browns are undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since Week 14 — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Bengals are 2-1 (.667) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .307.

The Bengals are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .656.

The Bengals are 3-8 (.273) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.

The Bengals are undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 run defenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .581.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals TEs have just 38.2 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed an average ofjust 39.4 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Bengals have thrown the ball 10 yards or less 73.8% of pass attempts this season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Browns have allowed just 5.5 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards this season — T-4th-best in NFL.

The Bengals have gone three and out on 25.5% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. Browns have forced three and outs on 30.8% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL.

The Browns have run successful plays on 52.7% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since Week 14 — 2nd-best in NFL. Bengals have allowed successful plays on 55.3% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since Week 14 — 3rd-worst in NFL.

Browns TEs have averaged 10.0 targets per game this season — 5th-highest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 6.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-worst in NFL.

The Browns have thrown for 1,373 passing yards in 4 games (343.2 YPG) since Week 14 — best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 258.0 passing yards per game since Week 14 — 5th-worst in NFL.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats

The Browns ran successful plays on 0% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Browns have committed 36 turnovers this season — most in NFL.

The Browns ran successful plays on 12% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns had 7 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 17 — T-most in NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats

The Bengals have gone three and out on 7% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Bengals have not gone three and out on any of their drives in the 3rd quarter since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Bengals have run 75% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Bengals allowed a QB hit on 39% of pass attempts in Week 17 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Browns defense have forced three and outs on 33% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats

The Bengals defense has allowed 8 TDs on first drive of the game this season — most in NFL.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 52% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Bengals defense has allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,352 yards / 783 touches) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.2.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.