- The Browns are -7 against the Jets.
- Cleveland is 7-1 straight up at home and holds the top Wild Card spot.
- The Jets are coming off a win vs. Commanders despite a late implosion.
Ahead of Week 17’s Thursday Night Football contest, I’m here to provide a pair of Browns vs. Jets predictions.
Behind quarterback Joe Flacco, Cleveland has captured three straight wins over the Texans, Jaguars and Bears. That leaves them fifth in the AFC at 10-5.
As for the Jets, they’ve won two of their last three games. However, they’re only 1-4 in true road games this season, leading to a 6-9 record.
Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Thursday’s game, as well as my bets for the contest.
Browns vs. Jets Betting Odds
- Cleveland Browns Moneyline: -350
- New York Jets Moneyline: +260
- Game Spread: Cleveland Browns -7
- Game Total: 36.5 Points
Browns vs. Jets Predictions
Jets-Browns Total Under 36.5 Points (-110)
Time to go back to the well on Thursday Night Football unders.
The Browns allowed 22 points in Houston on Sunday. However, their defense only surrendered 15, all of which came in the fourth quarter when the Browns owned an insurmountable margin.
Now they return home, where they’ve proved dominant. This season, Cleveland is allowing only 13.1 points per game (best) and 1.5 offensive touchdowns per game (fifth).
Conversely, the Jets offense doesn’t travel well. New York is scoring only 12 points per game away from home.
Since scoring 31 in Denver, the Jets have scored 31 TOTAL points in their last four road games.
At the same time, their defense has held up well.
The Jets are third in defensive DVOA for the season, per ftnfantasy.com.
Plus, despite their positive play under Joe Flacco, Cleveland still ranks only 25th in EPA per play with the journeyman under center.
Add in the possibility of inclement weather and high winds in Cleveland, and I’ll take the under in this game.
Tyler Conklin Under 25.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
It’s hard to quantify just how good this Browns pass defense has played this season, particularly against tight ends.
At home, the Browns are surrendering 110.5 passing yards per game and 15.9 completions per game, good for first and second in the league.
Additionally, Cleveland is allowing only 29.2 yards to opposing tight ends this season, inclusive of road results.
At that yardage rate, the Browns are ahead of the second-best team – the Dallas Cowboys – by the same margin between second and 16th, per ftnfantasy.com.
Plus, in eight home games this season, they’ve held all but two tight ends – Evan Engram and Mark Andrews – under this number.
As a result, take the under on Conklin, who finds himself in a great sell-high spot, having cleared this number in four of his last five games.
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