- The Browns are -2.5 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch this AFC Wild Card Playoff game on NBC
The Cleveland Browns (11-6) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (10-7) on Jan. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Houston, TX.
The Browns are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).
The Browns vs. Texans Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Texans Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | -2.5 -120 | 44 -110 | -145 |
| Texans | +2.5 +100 | 44 -110 | +120 |
Browns vs. Texans Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Browns will win this playoff game game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Browns vs Texans Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 73.7% confidence.
Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.55 Units / 72% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Elijah Moore has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Kareem Hunt has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Noah Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Robert Woods has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+5.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 44% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns went 10-6 (+3.45 Units / 18.35% ROI).
- Browns are 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 28.79% ROI
- Browns are 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 18.18% ROI
- Browns are 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans went 9-8 (+0.1 Units / 0.53% ROI).
- Texans are 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 22.98% ROI
- Texans are 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
- Texans are 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Browns are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Browns are 3-1 (.750) after a loss this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Browns are 8-1 (.889) at home this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .558.
The Browns are 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Texans are 10-5 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Browns have turned the ball over 38 times this season — most in NFL.
The Texans are winless (0-5) vs top 10 defenses this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Texans are winless (0-9) vs top 10 defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
The Texans are 6-2 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble this season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .624.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans
The Texans have run successful plays on just 36.6% of rush attempts this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. Browns have allowed successful plays on just 36.9% of rush attempts this season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
The Texans have run just 39.1% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. Browns have allowed their opponents to run just 41.8% of plays in their territory since the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL.
Texans WRs have averaged 5.2 yards after the catch this season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed 5.1 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — T-5th-worst in NFL.
The Browns have a third down conversion rate of just 31.5% this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Texans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 35.7% this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Browns have run successful plays on just 21.4% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Texans have pressured opposing QBs on 28.5% of passing plays this season — T-5th-best in NFL.
Browns RBs have averaged 108.9 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed an average of 133.9 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns have committed 38 turnovers this season — most in NFL.
The Browns have converted first downs on just 21 of 133 plays (16%) on 3rd and long this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Browns have run 1,175 plays this season — most in NFL.
The Browns have run successful plays on 21% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans have thrown 65% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 71%.
The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 25% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Texans have run 36% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Texans have 84 of 299 (28%) first downs have come on the ground (28%) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense have forced three and outs on 33% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of pass attempts from their own territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 34% of plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 64.7 in the red zone (63 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Texans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 67.1 in the red zone (129 Pass Attempts) since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.4.
The Texans defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Texans defense has allowed 32 of 78 (41%) TDs through the air since the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
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