- The Buccaneers are -5.5 point favorites vs the Panthers
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-6) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (4-10) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.
The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Buccaneers vs. Panthers Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.
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Buccaneers vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buccaneers | -5.5 -110 | 37.5 -110 | -250 |
| Panthers | +5.5 -110 | 37.5 -110 | +200 |
Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 18 game with 66.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Buccaneers vs Panthers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.
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Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Russell Gage has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Mike Evans has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ian Thomas has hit the Longest Reception Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+5.05 Units / 50% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.95 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have scored last in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers went 10-6 (+3.5 Units / 20.11% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 7.77% ROI
- Buccaneers are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Buccaneers are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / ROI
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers went 4-10 (-7.1 Units / -40.46% ROI).
- Panthers are 2-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -70% ROI
- Panthers are 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.15 Units / -40.51% ROI
- Panthers are 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 31.34% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Buccaneers are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .286.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Buccaneers are 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .587.
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Panthers are winless (0-5) when playing in cold weather this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Panthers are 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.
The Panthers are winless (0-3) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Panthers are winless (0-9) on the road this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers
The Panthers were successful on just 34.0% of plays they have run last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. Buccaneers allowed their opponents to be successful on just 34.3% of plays last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Panthers have run successful plays on just 37.9% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. Buccaneers have allowed successful plays on just 43.8% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2022 season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Panthers ran successful plays on just 33.3% of rush attempts last week — 4th-worst in NFL. Buccaneers allowed successful plays on just 21.9% of rush attempts last week — best in NFL.
Buccaneers TEs have just 29.7 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed an average ofjust 43.2 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — 5th-best in NFL.
Buccaneers QBs have been 59 sacked since the 2022 season — 4th-fewest in NFL. The Panthers have sacked the quarterback 59 times since the 2022 season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
Buccaneers TEs have 53 receptions in 16 games (just 3.3 per game) this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 14% of rush attempts in the 1st half in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 17% of plays in the 1st half in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Buccaneers have faced a blitz just 4% of the time on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 36% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers went three and out on 60% of their drives in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Panthers have scored on 50% of their drives in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Panthers did not record a TD in 10 drives in Week 17 — T-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.
The Panthers are averaging 12.7 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — 3rd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense has not allowed a successful play on any rush attempt in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 22% of rush attempts in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Buccaneers defense has allowed 93 of 304 (31%) first downs on the ground this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 39% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense has averaged a sack every 19.7 pass attempts (473 Pass Attempts/24 Sacks) this season — 3rd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.0.
The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.0 yards after contact per carry (446 carries) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.
The Panthers defense has hurried opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
24% of the plays run against the Panthers have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
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