Buccaneers vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 18

Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young passes against the New Orleans Saints during the first half of an NFL football game Monday, Sept. 18, 2023, in Charlotte, N.C.
(Rusty Jones/AP Photo)
  • The Buccaneers are -5.5 point favorites vs the Panthers
  • Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-6) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (4-10) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.

The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Buccaneers vs. Panthers Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.

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Buccaneers vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buccaneers-5.5 -11037.5 -110-250
Panthers +5.5 -11037.5 -110+200

Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 18 game with 66.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Buccaneers vs Panthers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.


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Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Russell Gage has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Mike Evans has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ian Thomas has hit the Longest Reception Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+5.05 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.95 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have scored last in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers went 10-6 (+3.5 Units / 20.11% ROI).

  • Buccaneers are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 7.77% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / ROI

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers went 4-10 (-7.1 Units / -40.46% ROI).

  • Panthers are 2-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -70% ROI
  • Panthers are 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.15 Units / -40.51% ROI
  • Panthers are 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 31.34% ROI

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Buccaneers are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.

The Buccaneers are winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .286.

The Buccaneers are winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.

The Buccaneers are 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .587.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Panthers are winless (0-5) when playing in cold weather this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Panthers are 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.

The Panthers are winless (0-3) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Panthers are winless (0-9) on the road this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers

The Panthers were successful on just 34.0% of plays they have run last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. Buccaneers allowed their opponents to be successful on just 34.3% of plays last week — 4th-best in NFL.

The Panthers have run successful plays on just 37.9% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. Buccaneers have allowed successful plays on just 43.8% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2022 season — T-4th-best in NFL.

The Panthers ran successful plays on just 33.3% of rush attempts last week — 4th-worst in NFL. Buccaneers allowed successful plays on just 21.9% of rush attempts last week — best in NFL.

Buccaneers TEs have just 29.7 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed an average ofjust 43.2 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — 5th-best in NFL.

Buccaneers QBs have been 59 sacked since the 2022 season — 4th-fewest in NFL. The Panthers have sacked the quarterback 59 times since the 2022 season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

Buccaneers TEs have 53 receptions in 16 games (just 3.3 per game) this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-3rd-best in NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats

The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 14% of rush attempts in the 1st half in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 17% of plays in the 1st half in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Buccaneers have faced a blitz just 4% of the time on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 36% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats

The Panthers went three and out on 60% of their drives in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Panthers have scored on 50% of their drives in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Panthers did not record a TD in 10 drives in Week 17 — T-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

The Panthers are averaging 12.7 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — 3rd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats

The Buccaneers defense has not allowed a successful play on any rush attempt in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 22% of rush attempts in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed 93 of 304 (31%) first downs on the ground this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 39% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats

The Panthers defense has averaged a sack every 19.7 pass attempts (473 Pass Attempts/24 Sacks) this season — 3rd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.0.

The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.0 yards after contact per carry (446 carries) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.

The Panthers defense has hurried opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

24% of the plays run against the Panthers have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.