- The Buccaneers are a 3-point home favorite against the Commanders.
- The Commanders have won each of their last five games.
- My Buccaneers vs. Commanders prediction is a Tampa Bay live betting angle.
Seeking revenge for a Week 1 blowout, the Commanders begin their playoff campaign on Sunday in Tampa Bay.
Washington used a late comeback against the Cowboys to clinch the sixth seed. This season, the Commanders posted a 5-3 SU record away from home.
Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South on the final day of the season. A win over New Orleans secured a fourth straight division title for Tampa, which moved up a seed after the Rams loss.
Bet on Buccaneers vs. Commanders and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Wild Card Odds: Buccaneers vs. Commanders
Buccaneers vs. Commanders Prediction
Based on Baker Mayfield’s strong record in the second half and Jayden Daniels’ weak second half record, my Buccaneers vs. Commanders prediction is the Tampa Bay 2H Spread.
There’s a specific angle for making this live bet on Sunday.
Mayfield is 25-11 ATS in the second half as a Buccaneer. Daniels is 8-9 ATS in the second half in his rookie season.
But Mayfield performs at his best in the second half when faced with a halftime deficit.
When Mayfield trails by at least a field goal at halftime, he’s 11-5 ATS in the second half, including 9-3 ATS when Tampa Bay’s halftime margin falls between -9 and -3.
Just this season, Mayfield is 8-2 ATS in the second half when trailing by at least a field goal.
That creates a strong live betting opportunity against Daniels, who is 3-8 ATS in the second half when tied OR leading at halftime.
Although Tampa Bay carried a halftime advantage over Washington in their Week 1 meeting, there’s a better chance Washington earns a halftime lead with a more experienced Daniels.
Since failing to cover that first-half spread in his first two games, Daniels has covered the first-half spread in 10 of his last 15 games.
In eight road games, Washington is 5-3 ATS in the opening half behind Daniels, including five covers in his previous seven games.
Mayfield is a relatively disappointing 5-4-1 ATS in the first half, with Tampa Bay as a home favorite and 7-7-1 as a favorite, irrespective of venue.
As a result, that creates a potential live betting angle on the Bucs. Look to play them live on Sunday, but only if they’re trailing.
Betting Buccaneers vs. Commanders: NFL Public Betting
Check back on Friday for Buccaneers vs. Commanders public betting data and insights.
