Cardinals vs Vikings Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

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Vikings player number 18 running with a NFL ball game in hand.

(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 12:41 PM

The Vikings are -3.5 point favorites vs the Cardinals
Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0) on Dec. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Cardinals vs. Vikings Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Cardinals vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Cardinals	+3.5 -110	45.5 -110	+155
Vikings	-3.5 -110	45.5 -110	-190

Cardinals vs. Vikings Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 75.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cardinals vs Vikings Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 58% ROI)
Kyler Murray has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Kyler Murray has hit the Interceptions Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
James Conner has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today

Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.70 Units / 61% ROI)
Sam Darnold has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Jalen Nailor has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 68% ROI)
Jalen Nailor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets:

The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+8.10 Units / 45% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 away games (+5.50 Units / 52% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.98 Units / 36% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.08 Units / 26% ROI)

Vikings Best Bets:

The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 23% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.84 Units / 19% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals art 7-4 (+2.5 Units / 20.33% ROI).

Cardinals are 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 23.48% ROI
Cardinals are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI
Cardinals are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / ROI

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 7-3 (+3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI).

Vikings are 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 40.5% ROI
Vikings are 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Vikings are 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Cardinals were winless (0-3) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Cardinals were winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.

The Cardinals are 3-1 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 242.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Cardinals were 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Vikings are undefeated (7-0) after a win this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .578.

The Vikings were 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.

The Vikings were 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.

The Vikings were 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.

Additional Matchup Notes for Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of 27.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Cardinals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 33.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — worst in NFL.

The Vikings have gone three and out on 16.7% of their drives this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Cardinals have forced three and outs on 13.5% of opponent drives this season — worst in NFL.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of 23.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Cardinals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 27.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on just 37.0% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on just 41.2% of rush attempts with a base rush this season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on just 40.9% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on just 33.3% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.

The Cardinals are 3-1 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 242.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats

The Cardinals had 23 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Cardinals ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the 1st half in Week 12 — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Cardinals started 7 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 12 — most in NFL.

The Cardinals have a third down conversion rate of 74% against open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats

The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

26% of the Vikings offense’s first downs (79 of 299) came on the ground last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Vikings have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Vikings had 6 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 12 — T-most in NFL.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats

The Cardinals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 33% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

19% of the plays ran against the Cardinals were in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cardinals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 47% since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Cardinals defense allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats

The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Vikings defense has allowed 39 of 179 (22%) first downs on the ground this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Vikings defense has blitzed on 28% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Vikings defense have allowed -0.82 epa per play with tight coverage this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.41.

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