Chargers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 7

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Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray throws a pass against the Philadelphia Eagles during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Derik Hamilton)
(AP Photo/Derik Hamilton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2024, 2:33 PM
  • The Chargers are -3 point favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • Watch this game on ESPN+

The Los Angeles Chargers (3-2-0) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals (2-4-0) on Oct. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Glendale, AZ.

The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Chargers vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Chargers vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chargers-3 -10543.5 -110-155
Cardinals +3 -11543.5 -110+125

Chargers vs. Cardinals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Chargers vs Cardinals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 65.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today

  • D.J. Chark has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Will Dissly has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • J.K. Dobbins has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Chris Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.25 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have scored last in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.80 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers art 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).

  • Chargers are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 13.7% ROI
  • Chargers are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Chargers are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals are 3-3 (-0.4 Units / -5.88% ROI).

  • Cardinals are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -13.14% ROI
  • Cardinals are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
  • Cardinals are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.

The Chargers were 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.

The Chargers were 1-7 (.125) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.

The Chargers were undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .654.

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Cardinals were winless (0-3) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Cardinals are 2-6 (.250) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .648.

The Cardinals were 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Cardinals were winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats

The Chargers have run successful plays on 18% of rush attempts against a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Chargers have thrown the ball 10% of the time (2 Pass Attempts/19 plays) on 3rd and short this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Chargers ran successful plays on 29% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats

The Cardinals had 23 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Cardinals went for two on 36% of PATs last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Cardinals targeted RBs 38% of the time (12 Pass Attempts/32 plays) in Week 6 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Cardinals have a third down conversion rate of 0% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats

Only 6% of the plays run against the Chargers have been in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Chargers defense has allowed scores on 10% of opponent drives in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Offenses facing the Chargers targeted WRs 44% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/153 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

Only 2% of the plays run against the Chargers have been in the red zone in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats

The Cardinals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 53% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

19% of the plays run against the Cardinals have been in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cardinals defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of pass attempts in the 1st half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Cardinals defense have allowed 0.15 epa per play with a base rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.