Chiefs vs. Bengals Prediction: 2 Bets for Week 17 Contest

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Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) looks to pass the ball during an NFL football game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins at Deutsche Bank Park Stadium in Frankfurt, Germany, Sunday, Nov. 5, 2023. The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Miami Dolphins 21-14.
(Steve Luciano/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Dec 29, 2023, 10:25 AM
  • The Chiefs are -7 against the Bengals.
  • Patrick Mahomes is 4-1 straight up following a loss this season.
  • Cincinnati received 34-11 drubbing in Pittsburgh in Week 16.

Ahead of Week 17’s contest, I’m here to provide a pair of Chiefs vs. Bengals predictions. 

The Chiefs played a fluky game in Week 16, losing 20-14 against the Raiders at home. However, the Raiders scored two touchdowns on defense. 

As for the Bengals, they received a thumping from divisional rivals Pittsburgh. As road favorites, they lost 34-11 thanks to a weak pass defense. 

Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Sunday’s game, as well as my bets for the contest. 

Chiefs vs. Bengals Betting Odds

  • Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline: -350
  • Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline: +260
  • Game Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -7
  • Game Total: 44 Points

Chiefs vs. Bengals Predictions

Same Game Parlay: Chiefs Moneyline & Bengals Team Total Under 14.5 (+170)

Cincinnati struggled immensely against the Steelers last week, scoring only 11 points. 

Although they’ll have a rest edge over Kansas City, I question how their offense surpasses this number. 

The Chiefs defense held the Raiders to only six points last week and has played very well at home this season. 

Although five of seven have cleared this number at Arrowhead, one came last week (Las Vegas). The other four opponents? Philadelphia, Buffalo, Detroit and the Chargers. 

Simply put, the Bengals aren’t on the level of any of those teams. Plus, the Chiefs are allowing only 1.6 opponent offensive touchdowns per game at home. 

With Ja’Marr Chase still banged up, back the Bengals offense to stay under this number for the second straight game. 

Add in Patrick Mahomes is 4-1 straight up off a loss this season and I’ll back this same game parlay at what feels like a generous price.

Travis Kelce Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-115) 

Kelce has only cleared this number seven times this season, but the Bengals struggle against tight ends. 

Entering this game, Cincinnati sits 31st in DVOA against the position, surrendering 65.9 yards per game to the position, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Kelce, to his credit, has posted strong outputs against teams that struggle to defend tight ends. 

Of the five teams he’s surpassed 80 receiving yards this season, all have come against bottom-half TE DVOA teams. 

Included in that sample is a 124-yard performance against the Broncos, who are the closest comparison to the Bengals sitting 32nd in DVOA against the position. 

Additionally, Kelce is 4-3 to the over against this number at home vs. 3-4 to the over on the road. 

With Patrick Mahomes slowly losing trust in his wide receivers, back Kelce to clear this number on Sunday.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.